Support for Companies from St.GallenBodenseeArea: 
SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT & ANALYSIS Manual for the COVID-19 Context

The ACC-HSG has a strong expertise in developing industry-specific scenarios for SMEs and MNCs alike. The ACC-HSG has also developed a simply yet effective way to identify implications from scenarios not only for business unit or corporate strategies but even the human resources, physical assets, organizational structures, technologies and relations on a functional level. 
​In the following, we are sharing our SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT & ANALYSIS Manual for your reference. 

Please REGISTER HERE to download the MANUAL as well as our STRATEGIC Analysis CANVAS COLLECTION.
​
Please contact us in case you want to use our expert panel / Delphi software or have other questions. 

Due to copyright reasons we require you to register with us before you can download the Manual / Canvas Collection. Thank You!
This article about "Using Scenario Planning to Reshape Strategy" in the MIT Sloan Management Review of 2017 is a good description of what we have been doing at the ACC-HSG for many years already. It's not about exact probabilities for best/worst case scenarios; it's also not about writing about how the future should look like (a normative approach) but to have a structured approach (mostly outside-in) to understand how changes in a larger business context are affecting the mechanisms at a lower level and finally your company's business model. 

From Insights to Impact: We are here to provide you with Decision Intelligence

Switzerland / 21st March 2020: ACC-HSG adds an additional "COVID-19" Contextual Intelligence Platform Initiative to help companies from St.GallenBodenseeArea to develop scenarios about how COVID-19 will affect their industry mid- and long-term. 
We are aware that many companies currently struggle with cash flow challenges and many other important problems that require the full attention of their executives. However, in a couple of days or weeks we all need to better understand how the world might look after or with a COVID-19 changing the rules of the game in many industries.

Based on our own "DECISION INTELLIGENCE" concept we will try to support you in:
  • Developing "Decision Context Maps" - what do I need to know to make better decisions about different COVID-19 challenges. 
  • Sorting out what kind of changes due to COVID-19 in your industry your really need to understand to prepare for the future. 
  • Gathering intelligence via our online Delphi (Expert Panel) software. 
  • Identifying implications from different SCENARIOS for your functional strategies.  
acc-hsg-contextual_intelligence_platform_covid-19.pdf
File Size: 188 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File

More inputs...

Your PLAN-AHEAD TEAM should help you to prepare for the next phase of Dealing with COVID-19

McKinsey has published a nice overview about how to prepare for the next few weeks, months, years and the new normal after COVID-19. 
Although the article is obviously targeting large companies, there are valuable lessons learned for SMEs. 
It especially highlights that companies now need to think ahead doing two things:
  • Thinking in multiple scenarios for the next couple of months and the next 1-2 years
  • Identify a overall story and direction (asap) that will guide the company to understand where it is generally heading to
You can read the full article here or download the PDF. 

Decision Intelligence about COVID-19

  • Risk Assessment Template for Companies in Crisis (Focus on Start-ups but also works well for SMEs) 
    see below - please download your own worksheet from this link. 
    In case you are interested to collect opinions about your company from different stakeholders, you can make use of the expert panel / Delphi study software of the ACC-HSG. 
covid-19-primer.pdf
File Size: 1587 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File
  • The bank ING has published (April 2020) a short but very concise scenario development paper about the global economic outlook that builds on a few key health drivers. It's worthwhile reading to understand the relationships between key elements of the pandemic, the management and time horizon of lock downs and the consequences for growth in different world regions.  
ing-think-four-scenarios-for-the-global-economy-after-covid-19.pdf
File Size: 2784 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File

Useful Links